STYLE : Black: serious, somber
FOCUS
This is the hat of judgement and caution. It is a most valuable hat. It is not in any sense an inferior or negative hat. The black hat is used to point out why a suggestion does not fit the facts, the available experience, the system in use, or the path that is being followed. The black hat must always be logical.
Cautious and careful
Logical negative – why it won’t work
Critical judgement, pessimistic view
Separates logical negative from emotional
Focus on errors, evidence, conclusions
Logical & truthful, but not necessarily fair
The basis of logical, critical thinking offering careful, cautious, and defensive insights. Try to see what is wrong; why it might not work; what are the dangers, problems, and obstacles; what are the deficiencies in the thinking process. It allows you to eliminate the negatives, alter plans, or prepare contingency plans to counter any problems.
Questions
What will happen if we take this action?
What can go wrong if we proceed with this idea or implement this suggestion?
What are the weaknesses that we need to overcome?
How does this “fit” with our (or other’s) experience, policy, strategy, values, ethics, and resources?
How will people respond?
Will it work . . be profitable . . be acceptable?
KEYPOINTS
Black Hat thinking is not an argument, but helps to make plans “tougher” and more resilient. It can help to spot fatal flaws and risks before you embark on a course of action. There is a danger of overusing black hat thinking by remaining in the critical mode and delaying green and yellow hat thinking.
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